Week ending May 29, 2026
BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 surge hold confirmed; Wonderlands DLC re-announce shipped clean; Test of Time tracking above plan into D7.
Two intentional holds (BL4 Phase 2, Mafia tranche) and one shipped recovery (Wonderlands re-announce) define the week. Test of Time continues to outperform on review score and CCU — that's the budget headroom that lets us hold the BL4 surge without dragging the portfolio. Next week is decision-heavy: Mafia $120K tranche call Jun 1, BL4 Phase 2 $180K surge call Jun 5.
Wins this week(4)
Marcus draft v2 signed off by Davide Fri AM; comms posted with Sentiment Defense framing. 1hr community ack window closed without escalation. 65K standalone-page wishlisters notified via Steam date-shift.
Time-Tested Civs multiplayer premiere Thu landed 18K concurrent (PotatoMcWhiskey + ursagaming + Boesthius + Quill18). Review score 87% up 2pp WoW. Test of Time tail clearing every gate.
Heaven's 3 refresh concepts cleared Brand QA Thu; ROAS readout packaged on MAF-1010 for Davide pre-read. Ready for Jun 1 GO/NO-GO.
TOC vs Mafia 2 launch creative comparison documented; findings feed the Mafia refresh recommendation. Pattern: paid CPA drift precedes ROAS decay by 2-3 weeks across the sustain catalog.
Intentional holds(1)
Not slips — deliberate holds with a re-measure path
D30 retention 9.8% vs 14% gate. Heaven Phase 2 pause-brief confirmed in writing Tue; no creative kickoff until Davide call Jun 5. Patch 1.2 D30 re-measure Jun 12. Top-of-funnel remains strong (1,840/day wishlist, 82% reviews) — this is a retention problem, not awareness.
Decisions made this week(1)
- Test of Time hero-cut handoff pathGOAlex Akiyama · May 26
RationaleChase Brand by EOD Tue, default to Open World v2 cut if not in hand. Brand delivered 6:42 PM; backup not needed.
Decisions open into next week(2)
With my recommendation — happy to be talked out of either
- Mafia TOC next $120K creative refresh trancheDavide Detta by Jun 1
My readGO — concepts cleared Brand QA, ROAS path is the right one. Recommend smaller pilot at $40K first 2 weeks before full tranche release.
- BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 Phase 2 paid surge ($180K)Davide Detta by Jun 5
My readHOLD pending Patch 1.2 D30 re-measure Jun 12. Recommend re-spec around Whispering Glacier endgame window rather than spending into current cohort.
KPI movements(8)
- Civ VII Test of Time review score (D7)87%+2pp WoW
- Civ VII Test of Time peak CCU102,400+8% vs target
- BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 wishlist velocity1,840/day+12% WoW
- BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 D30 retention9.8%-1.4pp WoW
- Mafia: TOC ROAS (rolling 7d)1.87-22% WoW
- Wonderlands D7 retention24.1%-3pp WoW
- Portfolio wishlist velocity (weekly)22,680+9% WoW
- Avg review score across active titles85%+1pp WoW
Coming up next week · Jun 1 – 5(5)
- Jun 1Mafia: The Old CountryMafia TOC — Davide GO/NO-GO on $120K refresh trancheOwner: Davide Detta
- Jun 2Sid Meier's CivilizationCiv VII Test of Time D14 retention readOwner: Alex Akiyama
- Jun 3HomeworldHomeworld 3 Anniversary trailer dropOwner: Marketing Mgr II
- Jun 5BorderlandsBL4 Mad Ellie SP1 — Davide GO/NO-GO on Phase 2 surge ($180K)Owner: Davide Detta
- Jun 5Risk of RainRoR2 Seekers — Lurkit + CreatorIQ shortlist dueOwner: Marketing Mgr II
- ·Patch 1.2 ship-date confirmation for BL4 D30 re-measure window (Jun 12 target)
- ·Wonderlands community sentiment 72hr post-re-announce window
- ·Heaven Media Q3 capacity check — 4 active title commits, BL4 Phase 2 + Mafia refresh + Wonderlands July re-time would push to 6 concurrent
Asks of Davide(2)
Explicit, by-date — flagging so they don't get lost
- Final framing read on BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 Phase 2 surge pre-Jun 5 callBy Jun 4
Want to walk into Jun 5 aligned on whether we're treating this as a hold-and-reload or a full re-spec of Phase 2 around the Whispering Glacier endgame window. My read is re-spec — happy to back into either.
- Approve $48K incremental for Civ VII Time-Tested Civs creator wave 2By Jun 2
Test of Time outperforming on every gate; recommend extending the creator program for a second wave to carry momentum into D30. Open World can produce by Jun 12. Funded out of Civ Q2 sustain underspend ($62K committed, $58.4K spent — $3.6K remaining).
Themes tracking into next month(3)
Longer-arc patterns worth flagging now so they don't surprise us
- ·Portfolio-level creative fatigue across sustain campaigns. Mafia is the canary; BL4 Mad Ellie SP1 paid will need a fresh creative track ahead of Whispering Glacier window.
- ·Heaven Media Q3 capacity. Currently 4 active title commits — checking bandwidth before stacking BL4 Phase 2 + Wonderlands July re-time + Mafia refresh concurrent execution.
- ·Brand Creative bandwidth. Third asset slip in 4 weeks (CIV-1934 most recent). Worth a structural conversation on protected slot allocation before Q3 planning locks.